Skip to main content

Biden vs Trump; Old men's doddering race to White House

With only few days until the American presidential election, I have decided to obey my political call and share my analysis and prediction.

Biden and Trump during presidential debate

Presidential Election in US is scheduled for Tuesday November 3, 2020 and simply is between two antagonizing parties, Democrat and Republican.

This Election undergoes two crucial independent voting stages; The Popular Vote and The Electoral College Vote although earlier maybe determinant of later under 'winner takes all' where presidential candidate who receives most votes in any given state is assured of all college votes in such state.

In 2016, Hillary Clinton won Popular votes with 65,853,514 votes against Donald Trump with 62,984,828 votes but Donald won college votes with 304 votes which even surpassed the required 270 votes against Hillary Clinton's 227 votes. This was the seventh presidential elections in History of US where a presidential candidate won popular vote but lost college vote.

College votes per State

First, I have to mention something about age although I always insist politics has no relations to age but I have to start by its analysis. Joe Biden is 77 years old and and will be battling 74 years old Donald Trump. If you look at House of Representatives, majority leader Steny Hoger is 81 years old, Speaker Nancy Pelosi is 80 years old while Majority Whip Jim Clyburn is 80 years old. So age is just a number in politics. No relations.

Second, Joe Biden was President Barrack Obama's loyal Deputy President and has always seemed empathetic to black Americans, women and Children.
It was during their administration that saw Universal Health Care for all Americans, affordable housing, gun control and free freedom for all Americans whether Senior Citizens, minority or majority. Thus he's liked by many Americans more so as a Catholic and Obama inspired leader.

Joe Biden with his Historic aviator sunglasses

With his running mate Vice President hopeful Kamala Harris, they form the most beautiful combination ever in American political History. Ms Kamala is the new Hillary Clinton while Mr Biden is the new Barrack Obama. So Great support and highest expectations from both Republicans and Democrats. More so, feminists revolutionaries who believe in gender equality.

On the other side is unspeakable Republican candidate incumbent Donald Trump who received great support from Senior Citizens in 2016 due to his conservatism ideologies but now seems to have lost their faith and support. He is also hated by media, Democrats and even some Republicans for saying and doing what is right instead of what's expected.

This hatred started shortly after he was elected which saw thousands of demonstrators terming him as 'not my president' and this escalated up to his impeachment but was reinstated by the Senate. He has also been under attack in the way he has been fighting Covid 19 which greatly affected the entire country. Recently he contracted Covid 19 and claimed healed and immune to it a theory researchers and scientists refuted as myth.

But in politics it's not all about being loved by populace. You also got to be feared. I buy the ideology of Philosopher Nicole Machiavelli, "it's better to be feared than loved if you can't be both." This is since those who are loved are usually betrayed by those who love them but those feared no one will ever dare to betray them. Biden is loved, Trump feared but Machiavelli's philosophy might not have enough strength to turn the table.

Lastly, Americas' biggest issues involves conservatism vs progressivism, healthcare, immigration, freedom, education, environment, government spending, welfare, democracy among others some of which Trump's administration has ignored or abolished like universal health care, conservation of environment, assylum seeking (immigration), high government spending among others which Biden seems to capitalize on them throughout his campaign.


Putting all these determinants at hand into consideration, I can substantiate my prediction and statistics that Joe Biden will win the US presidential elections popular vote against Donald Trump. With about 240 million registered voters and usual average voter turnout of 60%, Biden will garner over 75,000,000 votes against Trump who would hardly hit 60,000,000 votes. In term of College Vote, Biden will win but with a handful of votes against Trump; 280 votes against 258 votes.

But on and on, there's high possibility the Democracy will end up in Supreme Court which might be the determinant of the outcome.


NB: This article is an independent opinion with political statements and not meant to interfere with democratic exercise in US.






Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

MURATINA - Kikuyu Traditional Brew

Muratina is a crisp, sour, fruit flavoured Kikuyus' traditional brew made by fermenting Muratina fruit with water, honey, sugar and sugarcane juice. It has an alcoholic odor and is common in Central Kenya among the Kikuyu Community and has been passed from generations to generations where brewers learn the art or magic of making it from years of watching elders. Muratina in a Calabash 'Kinya' It is named after a fruit that comes from a wild tree commonly known as the "Sausage tree" due to its long, sausage like shape of the fruit which is highly poisonous when eaten raw unless boiled or roasted. The tree is scientifically known as Kigelia Africana and grows in river banks, wet areas and food plains in African countries such as Kenya, Cameroon, Senegal, Guinea, Tanzania, Chad, Eritrea, South Africa and Namibia. In Kenya it is found in Central and Western Kenya. Among Kikuyu Community, the tree is neither planted nor cut by any human as traditionalists believe it is
Post a Comment
Read more

How To Register As UDA Member Online

Membership of the United Democratic Alliance, UDA is open to all Kenyans upon application. This applies to all Kenyan citizens in possession of a valid National Identification card or passport, irrespective of tribe, gender, race, colour, social status or creed who accept its principles, policies and programmes and are prepared to abide by its Constitution and rules in accordance with the provisions of the Political Parties Act 2011. UDA Membership Registration An UDA member has the right to: 1. Take a full and active part in the discussion, formulation and implementation of the policy of the UDA. 2. Submit proposals or statements through the appropriate structures to the branch, county, and region. 3. Offer constructive criticism of any member, official, policy programme or activity of the UDA within its structures. 4. Receive and impart information on all aspects of UDA policy and activities. 5. Take part in elections and be elected or appointed to any committee, structure, commissio
7 comments
Read more

CRP Litmus Test

Civic Renewal Party commonly known as CRP is one of the party in Mt Kenya Region in Kenya. The party is led by Muranga County Governor H.E Mwangi Wa Iria who is also the Council of Governors vice chairman and Presidential Candidate in 2022. CRP Headquarters Party Analysis CRP party logo 1. Name; The word 'Civic' means people's activities or duties in their local areas, towns or cities. So in choosing of the name 'Civic', philosophy is detected. 2. In 'CRP' abbreviation, still wisdom is detected. Just like it was in H.E Ruto's former party URP. 3. Party Symbol; The choice of symbol of a 'Cow' was also well advised as every Kenyan Citizen is familiar with cows. On the party symbol, I could have advised for additional symbol of coffee, tea or maize which are backbone to Kenyan Economy and later being staple food in Kenya and which the party leader has been in forefront in reviving it's farming in the County through provision of farm inputs. 4. P
Post a Comment
Read more